Chad vs Liechtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
12.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2007 |
BEN
0 - 1
CHA
70%
18%
13%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
CGO
3 - 1
CHA
75%
17%
8%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
CHA
0 - 2
ZAM
10%
16%
74%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
CHA
6 - 7
GAB
13%
19%
68%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
CGO
0 - 0
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2006 |
WAL
4 - 0
LIE
92%
7%
2%
|
24 | 87 | 63 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
LIE
0 - 4
DEN
6%
16%
78%
|
24 | 95 | 71 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
LIE
1 - 2
AUT
3%
10%
87%
|
24 | 88 | 64 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
SWE
3 - 1
LIE
94%
5%
1%
|
24 | 93 | 69 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
ESP
4 - 0
LIE
95%
5%
1%
|
24 | 98 | 74 | 0 |