Chad vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
73.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 0
CHA
84%
12%
5%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 2
MLI
6%
11%
83%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
NAM
2 - 1
CHA
66%
21%
14%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 0
LBR
19%
19%
62%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
LBR
1 - 0
CHA
54%
24%
23%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 0
CHA
84%
12%
5%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CPV
1 - 2
GUI
30%
25%
45%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
MAR
3 - 1
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 0
NAM
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
MLI
2 - 2
GUI
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |