Chad vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
66.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
3 - 2
LIE
72%
16%
12%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2007 |
BEN
0 - 1
CHA
70%
18%
13%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
CGO
3 - 1
CHA
75%
17%
8%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
CHA
0 - 2
ZAM
10%
16%
74%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
CHA
6 - 7
GAB
13%
19%
68%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
EQG
1 - 1
GAB
32%
24%
45%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
CGO
2 - 2
GAB
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
MAR
6 - 0
GAB
68%
21%
11%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
CIV
5 - 0
GAB
75%
17%
9%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
GAB
4 - 0
MAD
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |