Chad vs Gabon analysis

Chad Gabon
45 ELO 69
-0.3% Tilt -7%
5274º General ELO ranking 1957º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
14.4%
Chad
19%
Draw
66.6%
Gabon

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
Chad
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
66.6%
Win probability
Gabon
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO progression

Chad
Gabon
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chad
Chad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Mar. 2007
CHA
Chad
3 - 2
Liechtenstein
LIE
72%
16%
12%
46 23 23 0
22 Feb. 2007
BEN
Benin
0 - 1
Chad
CHA
70%
18%
13%
45 58 13 +1
08 Oct. 2006
CGO
Congo
3 - 1
Chad
CHA
75%
17%
8%
45 69 24 0
03 Sep. 2006
CHA
Chad
0 - 2
Zambia
ZAM
10%
16%
74%
45 77 32 0
14 Mar. 2006
CHA
Chad
6 - 7
Gabon
GAB
13%
19%
68%
45 68 23 0

Matches

Gabon
Gabon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2007
EQG
Equatorial Guinea
1 - 1
Gabon
GAB
32%
24%
45%
69 62 7 0
07 Mar. 2007
CGO
Congo
2 - 2
Gabon
GAB
40%
26%
34%
69 70 1 0
15 Nov. 2006
MAR
Morocco
6 - 0
Gabon
GAB
68%
21%
11%
69 88 19 0
08 Oct. 2006
CIV
Côte d'Ivoire
5 - 0
Gabon
GAB
75%
17%
9%
70 87 17 -1
02 Sep. 2006
GAB
Gabon
4 - 0
Madagascar
MAD
69%
19%
12%
69 54 15 +1