Chad vs Gabon analysis

Chad Gabon
45 ELO 68
0.7% Tilt -6.8%
5280º General ELO ranking 1958º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
12.8%
Chad
19.2%
Draw
68%
Gabon

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
Chad
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
68%
Win probability
Gabon
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO progression

Chad
Gabon
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chad
Chad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2006
CGO
Congo
0 - 0
Chad
CHA
76%
16%
8%
45 69 24 0
06 Mar. 2006
EQG
Equatorial Guinea
1 - 1
Chad
CHA
69%
18%
12%
44 60 16 +1
27 May. 2005
SDN
South Sudan
1 - 1
Chad
CHA
82%
13%
6%
44 67 23 0
23 May. 2005
SDN
South Sudan
4 - 1
Chad
CHA
81%
13%
6%
44 67 23 0
10 Feb. 2005
GAB
Gabon
2 - 3
Chad
CHA
82%
13%
5%
42 69 27 +2

Matches

Gabon
Gabon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2006
EQG
Equatorial Guinea
4 - 2
Gabon
GAB
30%
24%
46%
69 60 9 0
08 Mar. 2006
GAB
Gabon
2 - 2
Papua New Guinea
PNG
81%
14%
6%
69 38 31 0
08 Oct. 2005
GAB
Gabon
0 - 0
Algeria
ALG
38%
28%
33%
69 79 10 0
04 Sep. 2005
ANG
Angola
3 - 0
Gabon
GAB
56%
24%
20%
70 77 7 -1
18 Jun. 2005
GAB
Gabon
3 - 0
Rwanda
RWA
52%
24%
24%
69 66 3 +1