Chad vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
68%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
CGO
0 - 0
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2006 |
EQG
1 - 1
CHA
69%
18%
12%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2005 |
SDN
1 - 1
CHA
82%
13%
6%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2005 |
SDN
4 - 1
CHA
81%
13%
6%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2005 |
GAB
2 - 3
CHA
82%
13%
5%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | +2 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
EQG
4 - 2
GAB
30%
24%
46%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
GAB
2 - 2
PNG
81%
14%
6%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
GAB
0 - 0
ALG
38%
28%
33%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
ANG
3 - 0
GAB
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
GAB
3 - 0
RWA
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |