African WC Qual. 1st and 2nd Round Final
Global 1-4
Chad vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
76.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GAB
0 - 1
CHA
77%
15%
7%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 2
GAB
13%
18%
69%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
SLE
2 - 1
CHA
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
SLE
17%
20%
63%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 5
EGY
8%
16%
76%
|
51 | 87 | 36 | -1 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
EGY
3 - 0
ZAM
74%
17%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 5
EGY
8%
16%
76%
|
87 | 51 | 36 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
EGY
3 - 0
TAN
86%
11%
4%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
EGY
2 - 1
MWI
85%
12%
4%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
EGY
2 - 0
EQG
84%
12%
5%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |