Chad vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
75.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
NGA
2 - 0
CHA
93%
5%
1%
|
51 | 85 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
GUI
1 - 2
CHA
84%
11%
4%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 1
MWI
24%
24%
52%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
MWI
2 - 0
CHA
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
YEM
0 - 0
CHA
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
EGY
3 - 0
TAN
86%
11%
4%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
EGY
2 - 1
MWI
85%
12%
4%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
EGY
2 - 0
EQG
84%
12%
5%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
TUN
2 - 1
EGY
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
EGY
0 - 1
SEN
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |