Chad vs The Democratic Republic Of Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
73.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
CIV
4 - 0
CHA
90%
8%
2%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
SLE
20%
22%
58%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
ZAM
11%
18%
72%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
ZAM
0 - 0
CHA
84%
12%
4%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 2
CIV
7%
18%
75%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | -1 |
Matches
The Democratic Republic Of Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
COD
1 - 2
ETH
73%
18%
10%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
GUI
1 - 0
COD
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
TAN
0 - 2
COD
21%
24%
55%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
COD
1 - 0
TAN
67%
21%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
ETH
0 - 2
COD
21%
24%
56%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |