Chad vs Mali analysis

Chad Mali
46 ELO 81
-1.5% Tilt -6.1%
5275º General ELO ranking 566º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
12.3%
Chad
21.5%
Draw
66.1%
Mali

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
Chad
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
66.1%
Win probability
Mali
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO progression

Chad
Mali
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chad
Chad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2007
CHA
Chad
1 - 1
Congo
CGO
19%
24%
58%
45 71 26 0
16 Jun. 2007
ZAM
Zambia
1 - 1
Chad
CHA
77%
16%
7%
45 78 33 0
02 Jun. 2007
RSA
South Africa
4 - 0
Chad
CHA
80%
15%
5%
45 81 36 0
24 Mar. 2007
CHA
Chad
0 - 3
South Africa
RSA
12%
20%
69%
46 81 35 -1
16 Mar. 2007
CHA
Chad
1 - 0
Liechtenstein
LIE
77%
13%
10%
45 23 22 +1

Matches

Mali
Mali
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jun. 2008
MLI
Mali
4 - 2
Congo
CGO
63%
22%
15%
81 71 10 0
29 Jan. 2008
CIV
Côte d'Ivoire
3 - 0
Mali
MLI
72%
18%
11%
80 87 7 +1
25 Jan. 2008
NGA
Nigeria
0 - 0
Mali
MLI
73%
17%
10%
80 88 8 0
21 Jan. 2008
MLI
Mali
1 - 0
Benin
BEN
80%
14%
6%
80 60 20 0
10 Jan. 2008
EGY
Egypt
1 - 0
Mali
MLI
75%
16%
9%
80 89 9 0