Chad vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
57.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2007 |
ZAM
1 - 1
CHA
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
RSA
4 - 0
CHA
80%
15%
5%
|
45 | 81 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 3
RSA
12%
20%
69%
|
46 | 81 | 35 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 0
LIE
77%
13%
10%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 2
GAB
14%
19%
67%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
CGO
1 - 1
RSA
23%
25%
52%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
ZAM
3 - 0
CGO
57%
25%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
CGO
2 - 1
COD
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
ANG
0 - 0
CGO
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
CGO
0 - 0
ZAM
28%
26%
47%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |