Chad vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
43.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1989 |
CTA
1 - 1
CHA
50%
23%
27%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1988 |
CTA
2 - 1
CHA
45%
24%
31%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 1988 |
CGO
2 - 1
CHA
76%
15%
10%
|
16 | 64 | 48 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1987 |
CHA
4 - 0
EQG
36%
24%
40%
|
13 | 60 | 47 | +3 |
| 11 Dec. 1987 |
CHA
1 - 1
GAB
37%
25%
39%
|
12 | 59 | 47 | +1 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1989 |
CMR
1 - 0
CGO
75%
15%
10%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1989 |
CTA
1 - 2
CGO
31%
25%
45%
|
65 | 12 | 53 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1989 |
CGO
1 - 0
GAB
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1988 |
CGO
3 - 0
CTA
75%
15%
10%
|
64 | 11 | 53 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
CGO
1 - 0
CTA
75%
15%
10%
|
64 | 11 | 53 | 0 |