AFCON Qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 2-3
Cameroon vs Cape Verde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cameroon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CPV
2 - 0
CMR
23%
28%
50%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
CMR
1 - 0
GNB
90%
8%
2%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
LBY
2 - 1
CMR
22%
27%
52%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
CMR
1 - 0
COD
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 2
CMR
25%
27%
48%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cape Verde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CPV
2 - 0
CMR
23%
28%
50%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
CPV
3 - 1
MAD
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
CPV
1 - 2
TUN
22%
27%
52%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SLE
2 - 1
CPV
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
MAD
0 - 4
CPV
22%
27%
52%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |