Bhutan vs Sri Lanka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bhutan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
NPL
2 - 0
BTN
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2005 |
NPL
3 - 1
BTN
74%
15%
11%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
IND
3 - 0
BTN
74%
17%
10%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2005 |
BGD
3 - 0
BTN
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
YEM
4 - 0
BTN
84%
11%
5%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
LKA
1 - 0
BRN
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
LKA
1 - 2
AFG
31%
23%
46%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2005 |
LKA
0 - 2
MDV
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2005 |
PAK
1 - 0
LKA
49%
22%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
MDV
0 - 0
LKA
55%
20%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |