Bhutan vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.1%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.1%
+1
4.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
18.6%
76.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
21.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
27.8%
0-2
19.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
24%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.2%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bhutan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
MDV
2 - 0
BTN
83%
12%
6%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
NPL
1 - 1
BTN
59%
21%
21%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BTN
1 - 2
LAO
43%
21%
36%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
BGD
2 - 0
BTN
56%
20%
24%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
GUM
5 - 0
BTN
46%
21%
33%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
LBN
2 - 0
BGD
86%
11%
3%
|
63 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
IND
2 - 0
LBN
35%
27%
39%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
IND
0 - 0
LBN
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
MNG
0 - 0
LBN
11%
18%
71%
|
64 | 30 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
LBN
3 - 1
VAN
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |