Bhutan vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
71.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bhutan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
HKG
4 - 0
BTN
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 1
BTN
51%
19%
30%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
BTN
1 - 3
BGD
15%
22%
63%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
BTN
1 - 4
LBN
5%
19%
76%
|
23 | 63 | 40 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
MDV
2 - 0
BTN
83%
12%
6%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
HKG
4 - 0
BTN
75%
15%
10%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
HKG
10 - 0
BRN
73%
16%
12%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
KHM
1 - 1
HKG
19%
22%
59%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
HKG
0 - 1
THA
10%
16%
74%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
VIE
1 - 0
HKG
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |