Burundi vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
TAN
0 - 0
BDI
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
BDI
1 - 0
KEN
24%
25%
52%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2007 |
BDI
3 - 0
SOM
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
MTN
2 - 1
BDI
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
BDI
0 - 0
EGY
4%
19%
77%
|
53 | 89 | 36 | +1 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2007 |
ERI
3 - 2
UGA
9%
18%
73%
|
30 | 70 | 40 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2007 |
DJI
2 - 3
ERI
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
ERI
1 - 2
RWA
17%
22%
61%
|
29 | 64 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2007 |
SDN
1 - 0
ERI
78%
14%
8%
|
29 | 67 | 38 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2007 |
SDN
1 - 0
ERI
77%
15%
8%
|
29 | 67 | 38 | 0 |