Burundi vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
RSA
2 - 0
BDI
88%
9%
3%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2001 |
ETH
5 - 4
BDI
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2001 |
UGA
0 - 2
BDI
85%
11%
4%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2001 |
BDI
3 - 1
DJI
58%
20%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
BDI
1 - 2
TAN
24%
25%
51%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
ERI
0 - 1
ZIM
8%
19%
73%
|
14 | 76 | 62 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
SYC
1 - 0
ERI
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2001 |
KEN
1 - 0
ERI
81%
13%
6%
|
14 | 70 | 56 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2001 |
ERI
0 - 0
SOM
30%
24%
46%
|
10 | 45 | 35 | +4 |
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
RWA
1 - 0
ERI
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 64 | 53 | -1 |