AFCON Qualifying 1st Round Final
Global 0-1
Burundi vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
44.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
TAN
0 - 3
BDI
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
BDI
1 - 1
RWA
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
BDI
1 - 2
COD
17%
23%
60%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
BDI
3 - 2
MTN
48%
26%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
GAB
0 - 0
BDI
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 4
SWZ
71%
20%
10%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
RSA
4 - 1
BOT
69%
22%
10%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
ZAM
23%
26%
51%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
KEN
1 - 2
BOT
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2013 |
LSO
3 - 3
BOT
16%
26%
58%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |