Burkina Faso vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
BDI
1 - 3
BFA
22%
24%
54%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
BFA
0 - 0
TUN
23%
27%
49%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
BHR
3 - 1
BFA
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
BFA
4 - 1
SYC
74%
16%
9%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
SYC
2 - 3
BFA
19%
22%
59%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
TOG
1 - 0
RWA
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
TOG
6 - 0
SWZ
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
ZAM
1 - 0
TOG
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
COD
2 - 1
TOG
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
SWZ
2 - 1
TOG
19%
24%
56%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | -1 |