Bulgaria vs Macedonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
CRO
2 - 1
BGR
75%
16%
8%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
QAT
2 - 1
BGR
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
SUI
4 - 0
BGR
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
UKR
1 - 1
BGR
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
BGR
2 - 1
NIR
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
POR
2 - 0
MKD
85%
11%
4%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 1
MKD
82%
14%
4%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MKD
3 - 1
ISL
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
ARM
0 - 5
MKD
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
MKD
0 - 4
GER
5%
13%
82%
|
77 | 93 | 16 | 0 |