Bulgaria vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
BLR
0 - 0
BGR
28%
26%
46%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SVN
1 - 1
BGR
61%
23%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
ROU
0 - 0
BGR
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
AZE
1 - 1
BGR
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
BGR
1 - 0
TAN
73%
18%
10%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
NIR
2 - 0
LUX
61%
23%
17%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
NIR
2 - 0
AND
79%
15%
5%
|
77 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
ESP
5 - 1
NIR
89%
8%
3%
|
77 | 94 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
SCO
0 - 1
NIR
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
ROU
1 - 1
NIR
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |