Bulgaria vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
74.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
GRC
4 - 0
BGR
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
BGR
2 - 2
CYP
73%
18%
10%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
IRL
2 - 1
BGR
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
BGR
1 - 2
IRL
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
BGR
1 - 1
BLR
59%
23%
19%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
POR
2 - 2
ESP
33%
22%
45%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
ESP
5 - 4
FRA
61%
21%
18%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
ESP
3 - 3
NED
63%
19%
18%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
NED
2 - 2
ESP
37%
23%
39%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
ESP
3 - 2
SUI
78%
14%
8%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |