Brazil vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.6%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
12%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
14.6%
3-0
16%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.1%
2.2%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 0
ROU
76%
16%
8%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 0
NED
52%
23%
24%
|
99 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 0
SCO
82%
13%
5%
|
99 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
FRA
1 - 0
BRA
28%
26%
46%
|
99 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
ARG
1 - 0
BRA
35%
25%
40%
|
99 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
MEX
0 - 3
VEN
11%
20%
70%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
VEN
0 - 3
ESP
11%
19%
70%
|
86 | 99 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
GTM
0 - 2
VEN
32%
27%
41%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
MEX
1 - 1
VEN
73%
18%
10%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
JAM
0 - 2
VEN
39%
27%
34%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |