Brazil vs Qatar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.4%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.6%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.5%
3.1%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
CZE
1 - 3
BRA
10%
20%
70%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 1
PAN
87%
10%
3%
|
96 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 0
CMR
85%
11%
3%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 0
URU
73%
17%
10%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 0
ARG
68%
19%
13%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
JPN
1 - 3
QAT
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
QAT
4 - 0
UAE
55%
24%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
KOR
0 - 1
QAT
56%
24%
21%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
QAT
1 - 0
IRQ
53%
23%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
KSA
0 - 2
QAT
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |