Brazil vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.7%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
4.8%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 1
PRY
84%
12%
4%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 1
VEN
86%
11%
3%
|
97 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 1
COL
75%
17%
9%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 1
PER
85%
11%
4%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 0
HND
88%
10%
3%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
MEX
1 - 0
CRI
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
CAN
0 - 0
CRI
18%
22%
60%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
CRI
1 - 1
SLV
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
CRI
2 - 2
JAM
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
MEX
2 - 2
CRI
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |