Bolivia vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
57%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
PER
3 - 1
BOL
60%
23%
18%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
BOL
2 - 2
PAR
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
ECU
4 - 0
BOL
70%
19%
12%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
ARG
6 - 0
BOL
84%
12%
5%
|
76 | 95 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 0
COL
17%
24%
59%
|
75 | 93 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
URU
0 - 1
ARG
32%
26%
42%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
URU
67%
19%
14%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
URU
3 - 2
COL
43%
26%
31%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
URU
0 - 0
ECU
61%
22%
17%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
PER
1 - 0
URU
25%
26%
49%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | -1 |