Belarus vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belarus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
MDA
0 - 0
BLR
16%
23%
62%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
BLR
5 - 0
SMR
85%
12%
3%
|
77 | 25 | 52 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
FIN
2 - 0
BLR
51%
25%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
BLR
1 - 1
HUN
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
SVN
0 - 2
BLR
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
SMR
0 - 3
LUX
15%
18%
67%
|
53 | 24 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
LUX
4 - 0
MDA
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2018 |
LUX
1 - 0
GEO
12%
18%
70%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
LUX
0 - 0
SEN
10%
21%
69%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
LUX
0 - 0
SEN
9%
19%
72%
|
50 | 83 | 33 | 0 |