Bermuda vs El Salvador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
63.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bermuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
BMU
12 - 0
SXM
82%
12%
6%
|
51 | 7 | 44 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
ABW
3 - 1
BMU
16%
19%
65%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
BMU
0 - 0
BRB
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
ATG
3 - 2
BMU
37%
25%
37%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BMU
2 - 3
BRB
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
SLV
3 - 0
BRB
80%
14%
6%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
BRA
5 - 0
SLV
88%
9%
2%
|
68 | 96 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MSR
1 - 2
SLV
7%
14%
79%
|
68 | 17 | 51 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
HND
0 - 1
SLV
71%
19%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
CAN
0 - 1
SLV
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |