Bermuda vs Aruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
10.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bermuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
CAN
5 - 1
BMU
76%
16%
7%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
JAM
2 - 0
BMU
78%
16%
7%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
MEX
2 - 1
BMU
83%
13%
4%
|
57 | 92 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
BMU
0 - 0
GTM
15%
20%
66%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BMU
1 - 5
MEX
8%
19%
73%
|
57 | 91 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ABW
0 - 6
SUR
14%
18%
68%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
ABW
2 - 3
ATG
14%
16%
70%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
GUY
4 - 2
ABW
71%
17%
13%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
ABW
0 - 6
JAM
3%
8%
90%
|
40 | 79 | 39 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
JAM
2 - 0
ABW
86%
11%
3%
|
40 | 79 | 39 | 0 |