Bermuda vs Barbados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bermuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
ATG
3 - 2
BMU
37%
25%
37%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BMU
2 - 3
BRB
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
GRD
1 - 2
BMU
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
GRD
2 - 2
BMU
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BMU
2 - 4
CAN
13%
21%
65%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Barbados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BMU
2 - 3
BRB
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
GRD
0 - 2
BRB
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
VCT
4 - 2
BRB
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
BRB
1 - 1
LCA
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
DMA
2 - 1
BRB
25%
24%
51%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | -1 |