Bermuda vs Netherlands Antilles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
32.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bermuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 1978 |
CUB
4 - 0
BMU
80%
12%
8%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1978 |
PAN
1 - 1
BMU
71%
16%
14%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1976 |
BGR
0 - 4
BMU
87%
9%
4%
|
45 | 83 | 38 | +3 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
BMU
1 - 1
HUN
17%
23%
61%
|
45 | 90 | 45 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1974 |
BMU
0 - 0
CAN
28%
21%
51%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Netherlands Antilles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 1978 |
PAN
6 - 1
ANT
61%
19%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1978 |
ANT
1 - 3
TTO
62%
18%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1970 |
CUB
2 - 0
ANT
57%
20%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1970 |
BRB
1 - 8
ANT
25%
25%
50%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1970 |
PRI
0 - 3
ANT
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |