WC Qual. CONCACAF Caribbean 2nd stage Final
Global 1-1
Bermuda vs Antigua and Barbuda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bermuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
ATG
0 - 0
BMU
35%
24%
41%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
BMU
9 - 0
VGB
77%
14%
8%
|
60 | 30 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
VGB
1 - 5
BMU
25%
24%
51%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2000 |
BMU
0 - 2
CAN
16%
25%
59%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
BMU
1 - 0
CYM
67%
19%
15%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Antigua and Barbuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
ATG
0 - 0
BMU
35%
24%
41%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2000 |
BRB
2 - 2
ATG
65%
19%
17%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2000 |
DMA
2 - 0
ATG
72%
16%
12%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
ATG
5 - 1
VGB
72%
16%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
KNA
4 - 1
ATG
55%
21%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |