AFCON Qualifying 1st Round Final
Global 4-0
Benin vs Sao Tome and Principe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
STP
0 - 2
BEN
14%
19%
66%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 0
RWA
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
MLI
2 - 2
BEN
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 3
ALG
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
ALG
3 - 1
BEN
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sao Tome and Principe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
STP
0 - 2
BEN
14%
19%
66%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
SLE
4 - 2
STP
76%
17%
7%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
STP
2 - 1
SLE
12%
19%
69%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LSO
0 - 0
STP
62%
22%
16%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
STP
1 - 0
LSO
25%
24%
51%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |