Benin vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
45.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
BEN
4 - 1
TOG
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
BEN
0 - 0
MLI
19%
24%
56%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
MLI
1 - 1
BEN
76%
17%
7%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2007 |
BEN
0 - 1
CHA
70%
18%
13%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
BEN
1 - 2
SEN
16%
25%
60%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
MAD
0 - 2
GAB
19%
21%
60%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
GAB
0 - 1
CGO
48%
26%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 2
GAB
14%
19%
67%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
EQG
1 - 1
GAB
32%
24%
45%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
CGO
2 - 2
GAB
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |