Benin vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
BEN
1 - 2
SEN
16%
25%
60%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
BEN
2 - 0
SLE
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
TOG
2 - 1
BEN
62%
23%
15%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
EQG
2 - 0
BEN
56%
23%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
BEN
0 - 1
EQG
45%
23%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
CGO
3 - 1
CHA
75%
17%
8%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
CHA
0 - 2
ZAM
10%
16%
74%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
CHA
6 - 7
GAB
13%
19%
68%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
CGO
0 - 0
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2006 |
EQG
1 - 1
CHA
69%
18%
12%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |