Austria vs URSS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
8.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1960 |
NOR
1 - 2
AUT
36%
23%
41%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
AUT
4 - 1
SCO
58%
20%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1960 |
CSK
4 - 0
AUT
52%
21%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1960 |
CSK
2 - 1
AUT
50%
21%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
AUT
2 - 4
FRA
61%
19%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1960 |
DDR
0 - 1
SUN
32%
23%
45%
|
74 | 24 | 50 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1960 |
SUN
2 - 1
YUG
50%
21%
29%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 1960 |
CSK
0 - 3
SUN
83%
11%
7%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 May. 1960 |
SUN
7 - 1
POL
51%
20%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1959 |
CHN
0 - 1
SUN
63%
18%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |