Australia vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.1%
24%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1955 |
AUS
0 - 8
RSA
59%
19%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1955 |
AUS
0 - 2
RSA
61%
18%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1955 |
AUS
0 - 3
RSA
64%
17%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1954 |
AUS
4 - 1
NZL
83%
10%
8%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1954 |
AUS
4 - 1
NZL
82%
10%
8%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1955 |
AUS
0 - 8
RSA
59%
19%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1955 |
AUS
0 - 2
RSA
61%
18%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1955 |
AUS
0 - 3
RSA
64%
17%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1954 |
RSA
2 - 1
ISR
60%
18%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
POR
3 - 1
RSA
41%
20%
39%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |