Australia vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AUS
4 - 0
IDN
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
AUS
1 - 1
UZB
66%
19%
15%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
SYR
0 - 1
AUS
14%
20%
67%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
AUS
2 - 0
IND
86%
11%
4%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BHR
0 - 2
AUS
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
KSA
1 - 1
KOR
20%
23%
57%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
KOR
3 - 3
MAS
82%
13%
6%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
JOR
2 - 2
KOR
13%
20%
66%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
KOR
3 - 1
BHR
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
IRQ
0 - 1
KOR
21%
25%
54%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |