Australia vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
OMA
0 - 4
AUS
22%
24%
54%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
AUS
4 - 1
KWT
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
JPN
2 - 1
AUS
55%
24%
22%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
QAT
1 - 0
AUS
25%
26%
49%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
UAE
0 - 0
AUS
34%
25%
41%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
KWT
0 - 1
KOR
26%
24%
51%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
KOR
1 - 0
OMA
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
KSA
0 - 2
KOR
27%
27%
46%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
IRN
1 - 0
KOR
47%
25%
28%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
JOR
0 - 1
KOR
22%
25%
54%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |