Australia vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2011 |
IND
0 - 4
AUS
6%
17%
77%
|
90 | 55 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
UAE
0 - 0
AUS
28%
28%
44%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
EGY
3 - 0
AUS
56%
23%
20%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
AUS
1 - 0
PAR
45%
29%
27%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
POL
1 - 2
AUS
51%
26%
24%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2011 |
KOR
2 - 1
BHR
75%
18%
8%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2010 |
SYR
0 - 1
KOR
24%
26%
50%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
KOR
0 - 0
JPN
40%
28%
32%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
KOR
0 - 1
IRN
46%
27%
27%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
KOR
2 - 1
NGA
52%
27%
21%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |