Australia vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
AUS
0 - 0
PER
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
AUS
2 - 1
JOR
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
CHN
1 - 1
AUS
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
AUS
0 - 0
KSA
66%
20%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
JPN
2 - 1
AUS
50%
23%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
CRC
1 - 0
NZL
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
NZL
0 - 0
OMA
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
NZL
79%
15%
7%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
SOL
0 - 5
NZL
11%
19%
69%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
NZL
1 - 0
TAH
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |