Australia vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
AUS
3 - 0
IDN
69%
20%
11%
|
90 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
AUS
2 - 1
IRQ
56%
24%
19%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
RSA
1 - 1
AUS
29%
29%
42%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2004 |
AUS
2 - 2
NOR
32%
28%
40%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2004 |
AUS
6 - 0
SOL
88%
10%
2%
|
89 | 50 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
FIJ
0 - 2
NZL
12%
19%
69%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2004 |
NZL
10 - 0
TAH
86%
10%
4%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2004 |
NZL
2 - 4
VAN
89%
9%
2%
|
73 | 41 | 32 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2004 |
NZL
3 - 0
SOL
87%
10%
3%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
AUS
1 - 0
NZL
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | -1 |