Australia vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1991 |
NZL
0 - 1
AUS
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1991 |
AUS
0 - 2
CSK
34%
30%
36%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1991 |
AUS
0 - 1
CSK
34%
30%
36%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
KOR
1 - 0
AUS
54%
27%
19%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1990 |
KOR
1 - 0
AUS
53%
27%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1991 |
NZL
0 - 1
AUS
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1990 |
NZL
1 - 0
CHN
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1990 |
NZL
2 - 1
CHN
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1988 |
FIJ
1 - 1
NZL
16%
23%
62%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
AUS
2 - 0
NZL
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |