Australia vs Nepal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.3%
2.7%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
KWT
0 - 3
AUS
26%
26%
48%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
KOR
1 - 0
AUS
49%
25%
25%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
UAE
1 - 0
AUS
27%
24%
49%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
AUS
0 - 0
UZB
61%
21%
18%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2019 |
AUS
3 - 2
SYR
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
TWN
0 - 2
NPL
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
KWT
7 - 0
NPL
87%
10%
3%
|
39 | 75 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
TWN
1 - 1
NPL
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
MAS
2 - 0
NPL
64%
22%
14%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
KWT
1 - 0
NPL
88%
10%
2%
|
40 | 75 | 35 | 0 |