Argentina vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
4.7%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ARG
3 - 0
SLV
89%
9%
2%
|
96 | 64 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 1
ARG
56%
23%
22%
|
95 | 96 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
ARG
0 - 2
URY
66%
19%
14%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
PER
0 - 2
ARG
12%
22%
66%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
ARG
1 - 0
PRY
84%
11%
4%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CRI
3 - 1
HND
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CRI
2 - 0
SLV
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
PAN
3 - 1
CRI
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
CRI
0 - 3
PAN
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
CRI
1 - 4
ARE
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |