Algeria vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
DZA
5 - 0
NER
86%
11%
3%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
DZA
1 - 0
CIV
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MOZ
0 - 1
DZA
7%
18%
75%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
DZA
1 - 0
ETH
85%
11%
4%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
DZA
1 - 0
LBY
86%
11%
4%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
SEN
1 - 0
MDG
75%
17%
8%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
SEN
1 - 0
MRT
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SEN
3 - 0
COD
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
SEN
0 - 1
UGA
76%
16%
7%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CIV
0 - 1
SEN
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |