Algeria vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
SDN
1 - 1
ALG
33%
24%
43%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1980 |
ALG
2 - 0
SDN
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1980 |
POL
5 - 1
ALG
90%
7%
3%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 1980 |
YUG
3 - 0
ALG
85%
10%
5%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1980 |
ESP
1 - 1
ALG
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
SEN
0 - 1
GUI
48%
22%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1981 |
SEN
5 - 1
CPV
75%
15%
10%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1981 |
GUI
1 - 0
SEN
66%
18%
16%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1981 |
SEN
1 - 0
GNB
70%
17%
14%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1981 |
SEN
1 - 0
CPV
76%
14%
10%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |