Algeria vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
ALG
1 - 1
GAM
77%
15%
7%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2018 |
QAT
0 - 1
ALG
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TOG
1 - 4
ALG
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
ALG
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
ALG
2 - 0
BEN
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
TUN
4 - 0
SWZ
84%
13%
3%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
TUN
0 - 1
MAR
33%
28%
39%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
EGY
3 - 2
TUN
59%
23%
19%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
NIG
1 - 2
TUN
14%
22%
65%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
TUN
1 - 0
NIG
79%
16%
5%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |