Algeria vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
39.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ALG
2 - 0
CTA
87%
10%
3%
|
79 | 13 | 66 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
TAN
1 - 1
ALG
30%
30%
41%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 0
ALG
63%
24%
13%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ALG
1 - 0
MAR
34%
29%
37%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
ALG
0 - 1
SDN
72%
19%
10%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
TUN
2 - 0
TOG
74%
17%
8%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
MWI
0 - 0
TUN
17%
25%
58%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
JOR
3 - 3
TUN
29%
29%
43%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
TUN
4 - 2
MLI
59%
24%
16%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
TUN
5 - 0
CHA
89%
9%
2%
|
86 | 47 | 39 | 0 |