Algeria vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1973 |
TUR
4 - 0
ALG
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1973 |
GHA
2 - 0
ALG
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1973 |
NGA
2 - 2
ALG
50%
22%
28%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1973 |
ALG
4 - 2
TAN
69%
17%
15%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1972 |
TUN
1 - 2
ALG
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
TUN
0 - 5
YUG
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1972 |
TUN
1 - 2
ALG
49%
23%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1972 |
TUN
3 - 1
ALG
47%
23%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1971 |
TUN
1 - 0
SRB
36%
23%
41%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 1970 |
TUN
2 - 0
LBY
57%
20%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |