Algeria vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
ALG
0 - 0
BFA
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
GAB
0 - 0
ALG
38%
28%
33%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
ALG
2 - 5
NGA
31%
29%
40%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
ALG
2 - 2
ZIM
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
ALG
0 - 3
MLI
53%
25%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2005 |
DJI
0 - 4
SDN
24%
24%
52%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
UGA
3 - 0
SDN
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2005 |
ETH
3 - 1
SDN
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2005 |
SDN
4 - 1
SOM
75%
16%
10%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2005 |
SDN
1 - 5
ETH
43%
25%
33%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |